Democrats keep winning the popular vote. That worries them.

first_imgHomeNewsElectionsDemocrats keep winning the popular vote. That worries them. Nov. 14, 2020 at 5:00 amElectionsGovernmentPoliticsDemocrats keep winning the popular vote. That worries them.Associated Press7 months agoelectionspopular vote NICHOLAS RICCARDIAssociated PressDemocrats won the popular vote in this year’s presidential election yet again, marking seven out of eight straight presidential elections that the party has reached that milestone.And, for some Democrats, that’s worrisome.President-elect Joe Biden has so far won 50.8% of the vote compared to the 47.4% who voted for President Donald Trump, a 5 million vote advantage that is likely to grow as Democratic bastions like California and New York continue to count ballots. Biden’s 77.5 million votes to date are the most for any winning candidate, and Trump’s 72.3 million also set a high water mark for a losing one.Experts predict Biden’s margin of victory will surpass former President Barack Obama’s 4 percentage point popular vote lead in 2012. Only Obama’s landslide 2008 victory — with a 7 percentage point margin in the popular vote — was larger in recent elections.But what alarms many Democrats is a growing gap between their popular vote tallies and their political power. Democrats may be winning over more supporters, but as long as those votes are clustered on the coasts or in cities and suburbs, they won’t deliver the congressional victories the party needs to enact its policies.That power gap is especially clear this year. While Biden was racking up those historic margins, Democrats lost at least eight seats in the House of Representatives and failed to gain a single statehouse — in fact, they lost control of New Hampshire’s legislature. They also fell short of taking back control of the U.S. Senate, with their hopes now resting on winning two run-off elections in Georgia that are considered an uphill climb for the party.“There’s a massive structural challenge to the majority of Americans having any political power anytime soon,” said Rebecca Katz, a liberal Democratic strategist. “It’s a problem.”Whether it’s a problem — or a necessary check on power — is a point of debate. The founders created a U.S. system of government based partially on geography. Wyoming, with its population of 500,000, has as many senators as California, home to 39 million people. House seats are awarded based on population, but districts can be drawn to dilute the impact of types of voters. The presidency is a won by amassing a majority of electors allocated to states.“Power is not allocated by the popular vote,” said Simon Rosenberg, a veteran Democratic strategist. “What we have to get better at is not just winning more votes, but winning in more parts of each state, and in more states.”The disparity has only been growing as the country gets more polarized. When George W. Bush won the White House in 2000 through an Electoral College win despite losing the popular vote, it was seen as a fluke.Bush won reelection in 2004 with 50.7% of the national vote. But Democrats have won it every presidential election since, including in 2016, when Democrat Hillary Clinton won 2.9 million more votes but lost the White House to Trump because she narrowly lost critical swing states and did not win a majority of electors.The Trump-era polarization has accelerated the divide. Trump has performed well with white voters, specifically white voters who have not graduated from a four-year college — a group that is fairly evenly distributed throughout the 50 states. Democrats, meanwhile, have gained ground with college graduates, who are more likely to cluster in cities, and in states like Massachusetts and Colorado.Another bulwark for the Democratic coalition, Black, Latino and other racial minority voters, are likewise clustered in cities and certain states, and less represented in a broad swath of rural states that help give Republicans their geographic edge.The results in the 2018 midterm was especially clear: Democrats lost ground in the Senate even as they netted 41 seats to win control of the House of Representatives.It’s easy to see how the dynamic plays out in campaigns. Trump repeatedly slammed Democratic states like California and New York and Democratic-controlled cities during his presidency and reelection campaign. Biden, who couldn’t win just by appealing to places where his party was strong, argued the country needed to unify and stop fighting.The increasing gap between the majority and those actually in power troubles even those benefiting from it.“Republicans can be glib about this because it’s working for them, but I don’t think it’s a good long-term solution,” said Liam Donovan, a Washington, D.C.,-based GOP strategist. “For the long-term health of the party and of the country, you have to hope you’re not just winning barely with a diminishing rump.”Still, Republicans’ strong performance in state legislatures makes it likely they can lock in gains during the upcoming once-a-decade gerrymandering, by drawing lines for statehouse and congressional districts that pack voters into districts that favor the GOP. The party’s landslide 2010 win during Obama’s first midterm helped them do that over the past decade.“They’ll be able to cement this for a new decade,” Donovan said. “They’re figuring out new ways of consolidating power with the minority of the electorate.”Tags :electionspopular voteshare on Facebookshare on Twitteradd a commentChanging Election TrendsRooftop Cinema Club touches down with new drive-in at Santa Monica AirportYou Might Also LikeElectionsFeaturedNewsThird candidate enters County Supervisor raceMatthew Hall2 weeks agoFeaturedGovernmentNewsMcKeown announces retirementBrennon Dixson2 weeks agoFeaturedNewsPoliticsGOP seeks unity, even if that means embracing election lieGuest Author1 month agoNewsPoliticsIn GOP stronghold, Biden pushes for his infrastructure planGuest Author1 month agoFeaturedNewsPoliticsU.S. Senator Alex Padilla endorses Rick Chavez Zbur for AD50 seatClara Harter1 month agoFeaturedNewsPoliticsMalibu City Manager alleges harassment by councilmanGuest Author4 months agolast_img read more

South Africa supports Nigerian tragedy families

first_imgSouth Africa’s Department of International Relations and Cooperation has had an overwhelming response from people whose loved ones are still missing after the building collapse at the Synagogue Church of All Nations in Lagos, Nigeria, on 12 September.“Since the appeal made for family members to send photographs of their affected loved ones to the Operations Centre at Dirco, we have received an overwhelmingly positive response and we appreciate this gesture of cooperation,” the department said in a statement on Thursday.“We have forwarded the pictures to the South African Consulate in Nigeria and the team on the ground in Lagos is making use of the pictures in the process of identifying those of our fallen compatriots, who can still be identified through the use of photographs.“We understand that some of the bodies may take a while to be positively identified due to the nature and extent of the calamity.”Dirco’s operations centre to help families affected by the tragedy can be contacted on 012 351 1000. Its newly set up operations room in Pretoria also provides consular services and advice to families, 24 hours a day, seven days a week. The public can contact the department on the following numbers:012 351 0924012 351 1757012 351 1262012 351 1623Assessment team in NigeriaAccording to the South African consulate in Lagos, there were 349 South Africans visiting the church at the time of the incident. Of these, 265 were found alive.That leaves 84 unaccounted for. The number of South Africans confirmed dead, according to the South African mission in Nigeria, currently stands at 67.The mission said 10 bodies have been positively identified as South African citizens by reference to identity documents found on their bodies. The families of the deceased have been informed. Social workers are available at the Dirco operation centre and OR Tambo International Airport to provide support to these families.Once the deceased have been positively identified, the government will ensure their remains are returned home.The South African high commissioner and consul-general have been working the church’s leadership and other authorities, visiting the scene and going to hospitals and mortuaries to identify those nationals injured or killed.In Pretoria, the 24-hour operations centre is relaying information from Nigeria to families, as well as receiving information from families and sharing the information with the team on the ground in Lagos.Task teamAn inter-departmental team has been put together and the National Joint Operational and Intelligence Structure has also been activated to provide technical assistance and support to the victims and their families.The team is led by Jeff Radebe, the minister in the presidency, and is made up of a number of ministers of national departments. It will lead efforts to support the families and manage the impact of the tragedy.An assessment team has arrived in Lagos to evaluate the situation on the ground. This will give feedback to the government on the arrangements needed to treat or bring home the injured. It will also work with Nigerian authorities to return the dead to South Africa.“Our thoughts are with the families, friends and colleagues that have lost their loved ones in this heart-breaking tragedy,” Dirco said.“The whole nation shares the pain of the mothers, fathers, daughters and sons, who have lost their loved ones. We are all in grief. This is a time for all of us to work together to bring comfort and support to the affected families during this difficult time.”SANews.gov.za and SouthAfrica.info reporterlast_img read more

Oracle discovers another major fraud operation affecting Android users and mobile advertisers

first_img A major new mobile ad fraud operation affecting Android phones, mobile apps and advertisers on the platform was revealed Wednesday by Oracle.The DrainerBot code appears to have been distributed via an infected SDK, which was integrated into hundreds of popular Android apps and games.Android operating systems have shown vulnerability to the actions of fraudsters — in October 2018, a botnet operation was uncovered that involved more than 125 Android apps and websites.What happened. Bad actors use bot networks to defraud advertisers and consumers, employing a malicious mix of spoofing and malware. In this case, unsuspecting users downloaded infected Android apps, which then delivered invisible, fraudulent ads to their devices. The infected apps then reported back to the ad network that each video advertisement had appeared on a legitimate publisher site, but the sites were spoofed, not real.The infected apps consume significant bandwith — potentially more than 10 GB per month of data, even when the device is not in use or is in sleep mode. Oracle said that the Netherlands company Tapcore was responsible for distribution of the SDK.Why you should care. As programmatic advertising continues to rise in popularity, so do incidences of ad fraud, costing advertisers millions in wasted ads and providing bad experiences for users.“In today’s complicated advertising ecosystem, criminals are increasingly targeting mobile apps because that’s where the users — and the ad money to reach them — is going,” said Eric Roza, SVP & GM, Oracle Data Cloud. “As criminals adapt their attacks, marketers need to adapt their defenses as well.”Even though Android users are the ones most affected by this, Roza said he doesn’t see it as a platform issue.“Ad fraud reaches every corner of the global advertising market, across mobile and desktop, in-app and video and display, iOS and Android, programmatic and reserved and walled gardens. This is effectively an arms race, and we are devoting an increasing number of resources to help advertisers, publishers, and consumers stay a step ahead,” Roza said.Oracle said that The Trustworthy Accountability Group (TAG) will be holding a special briefing for its member companies on Friday to discuss mitigation steps for the threat.The post Oracle discovers another major fraud operation affecting Android users and mobile advertisers appeared first on Marketing Land.From our sponsors: Oracle discovers another major fraud operation affecting Android users and mobile advertisers Oracle discovers another major fraud operation affecting Android users and mobile advertisersYou are here: Posted on 20th February 2019Digital Marketing FacebookshareTwittertweetGoogle+share Related postsLytics now integrates with Google Marketing Platform to enable customer data-informed campaigns14th December 2019The California Consumer Privacy Act goes live in a few short weeks — Are you ready?14th December 2019ML 2019121313th December 2019Global email benchmark report finds email isn’t dead – it’s essential13th December 20192019 benchmark report: brand vs. non-brand traffic in Google Shopping12th December 2019Keep your LinkedIn advertising strategy focused in 202012th December 2019 HomeDigital MarketingOracle discovers another major fraud operation affecting Android users and mobile advertiserslast_img read more